PMData
LIVE · 2026-09-03 08:02 UTC

GPT-6 released by…?

13 markets · volume $2.12M · ends 2027-01-01

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Markets in this event

#MarketYes24h VolLiquidityEnds
1Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? 0.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-08-01
2Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?0.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-01-01
3Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?0.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-04-01
#4Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?0.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-09-01
#5Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?0.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-08-08
#6Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?0.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-08-15
#7Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?0.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-08-22
#8Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?86.5%$115.14K$22.52K2026-09-16
#9Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?94.0%$16.87K$17.78K2026-11-01
#10Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?95.9%$21.62K$23.76K2026-12-01
#11Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?0.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-07-01
#12Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?95.7%$93.84K$36.51K2027-01-01
#13Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?89.5%$113.08K$17.50K2026-10-01

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