PMData
LIVE · 2026-09-03 08:02 UTC

OpenAI’s Astra released by…?

11 markets · volume $681.50K · ends 2026-10-31

On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not

Markets in this event

#MarketYes24h VolLiquidityEnds
1Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?0.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-08-16
2Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?0.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-09-01
3Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?98.9%$10.41K$18.70K2026-09-30
#4Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?99.2%$4.82K$28.43K2026-10-31
#5Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?97.8%$15.17K$7.43K2026-09-15
#6Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026?0.0%$34.35K$0.0000002026-09-02
#7Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?84.0%$61.81K$12.68K2026-09-03
#8Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?89.5%$14.26K$8.67K2026-09-04
#9Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?93.8%$4.24K$4.10K2026-09-09
#10Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?95.9%$2.21K$3.49K2026-09-11
#11Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026?97.9%$1.66K$5.10K2026-09-25

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