PMData
LIVE · 2026-10-31 23:02 UTC

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

22 markets · volume $31.79M · ends 2027-01-01

This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fra

Markets in this event

#MarketYes24h VolLiquidityEnds
1US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?100.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-09-20
2US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?100.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-09-25
3US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?100.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-09-30
#4US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?98.6%$146.44K$51.38K2026-10-31
#5US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?37.5%$8.65K$70.92K2026-11-30
#6US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?26.5%$39.14K$76.95K2026-12-31
#7US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?100.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-10-08
#8US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?100.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-10-16
#9US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?49.0%$31.33K$72.08K2026-11-16
#10US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?100.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-10-13
#11US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?100.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-10-06
#12US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?100.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-10-10
#13US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?100.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-10-25
#14US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?39.5%$18.79K$57.84K2026-11-23
#15US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?72.5%$56.93K$124.64K2026-11-09
#16US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?100.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-10-23
#17US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?100.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-10-18
#18US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?100.0%$44.75K$0.0000002026-10-29
#19US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?100.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-10-17
#20US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?100.0%$0.000000$0.0000002026-10-19
#21US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?84.5%$34.00K$39.07K2026-11-05
#22US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?92.6%$125.70K$59.37K2026-11-03

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