Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1 markets · volume $64.34M · ends 2027-01-01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Markets in this event
| # | Market | Yes | 24h Vol | Liquidity | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 15.5% | $164.62K | $935.10K | 2027-01-01 |