PMData
LIVE · 2026-09-03 08:02 UTC

Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

2025-01-31 · Settled

Result
No
Lifetime Volume
$48.84M
Trading Period
2024-11-07 → 2025-01-31

About this market

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's January 2025 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased by 51 or more basis points below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 30 - 31, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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