Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Presidential elections will be held in Poland in May, 2025. If no candidate receives a majority in the first round, a second round will be held. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Karol Nawrocki wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the winner of the election from the Polish government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW) (https://www.pkw.gov.pl/).